AP Assembly Election Analytics

How an 11-point swing reshaped Andhra Pradesh.

A 10.6-point decline in vote share led to a 93% collapse in YSRCP's seats. Dive into every constituency across the last three Andhra Pradesh Assembly elections and discover how India's winner-takes-all system amplifies electoral swings.

Party standings

How votes became power.

Compare each party's vote share and seat share across the 2014, 2019, and 2024 Assembly elections. Discover how alliances, candidate selection, and Andhra Pradesh's first-past-the-post system transformed similar vote percentages into dramatically different seat counts.

PartySeatsSeat shareVote %Total votes
Seat share breakdown
Every constituency

The AP constituency map

All 175 Assembly constituencies, coloured by winning party. Boundaries: Data{Meet} / Hindustan Times Labs (CC BY 2.5 India), unchanged since the 2008 delimitation. Hover a constituency for details, click to jump to it in the table below.

Trend

From landslide to landslide

Every five years, the political map was redrawn.TDP and YSRCP have alternated total dominance every cycle since 2014. Neither has yet won a second consecutive term.

Seat flow

Party transitions across successive elections

For every constituency, which party held it in the earlier election and which party holds it now. Thick ribbons are mass defections of seats; thin ones are the exceptions.

2014 → 2019
2019 → 2024
Case study

The rise and fall of YSRCP

Formed in 2011, YSRCP came from nowhere to run TDP close in 2014, swept to a historic landslide in 2019, then suffered one of the steepest reversals in Indian state election history in 2024 — despite barely losing any of its underlying vote.

Seats (bars) vs. vote share (line)
Winning & losing margins, by year
A secondary factor

Where a residual Congress vote cost YSRCP the seat

YSRCP finished runner-up in 164 of 175 seats it didn't win in 2024. In most of those, the winning margin was too large for any spoiler to matter. But in 9 of them, the third-place candidate alone won more votes than YSRCP's losing margin — meaning if that candidate's voters had gone to YSRCP instead, the seat would have flipped. 8 of the 9 spoilers were Congress (INC), not a minor party at random: Rayalaseema — where most of these seats sit, including Kadapa, YS Jagan's own home turf — was Congress's stronghold before the 2011 YSRCP split, and it still holds a residual vote there that never fully consolidated behind YSRCP.

ConstituencyLost byWinner3rd place3rd-place votes
Scale check, so this isn't overstated: even in the best case, recovering all 9 of these only takes YSRCP from 11 seats to 20 — nowhere close to the 151 it held in 2019. Widen the test to every non-winner vote combined (not just 3rd place), and it's 16 seats, not 9. This confirms the earlier finding rather than replacing it: the 2024 collapse was overwhelmingly a broad swing to a consolidated NDA alliance, with Congress vote-splitting a real but minor secondary factor in a handful of close Rayalaseema races.
Seats to watch

The 20 closest margins of 2024

The constituencies decided by the thinnest margins last time — the seats most exposed to flipping on a small swing in either direction. A reasonable starting point for anyone modelling 2029 scenarios, regardless of party: 11 of these 20 were won by TDP, meaning its 2024 sweep has more soft spots than the topline 135-seat tally suggests.

#ConstituencyWinnerRunner-upMarginMargin %
Constituency results

Search every constituency

All 525 results, 2014–2024. Showing 12 rows at a time in a scrolling table — filter or search to narrow it down, or just scroll for more. Click any row to see the full field of candidates and their vote share.

Constituency Year Winner Party Runner-up Party Margin
Reading the numbers

What the last three elections suggest for 2029

Not predictions — patterns. Four things the data shows clearly, relevant to whichever alliance is building a 2029 strategy.